www.readerspreference.com ...January 13, 2004
“It should be no surprise to anyone these days that over time money funds tend to track the stock indexes. Some do better, some worse, but over time they tend to track the average. So, how do you do better than average? How do you beat the indexes? Lyle Wilkinson proposes that the answer is really fairly simple. If the stocks tend to track toward a mean then trends can be examined to see where a stock is located on its mean. The fancy term for this is trend regression analysis. In his book "DIY Portfolio Management" Mr. Wilkinson provides a great explanation of trend regression analysis - what it is, what it is not, why it makes sense, and how to do it. For those who like statistics he builds the complete formulas and rationale, for those who don't he points out that many services provide trend analysis on their sites. You don't have to calculate the trend regression but you do need to understand what it is and how it works if you want to use it. This book shows how to use the information to pick a stock that is likely to rise or fall. However, this is not the only analysis in the book. He includes information on TRiPS, market timing, risk analysis, cycles, and even an action plan. "DIY Portfolio Management" takes a very technical subject and makes it available to the layman. Lyle Wilkinson's excellent and thorough job of explaining trend regression analysis and its use in the stock market is the primary reason "DIY Portfolio Management" is a highly recommended read for the technical investor looking to take control of his investments.”